Saturday, October 27, 2012

BALLOT MEASURE POLLING AVERAGES by, Scott Lay of Around the Capitol

10-27-12 The CBRT/Pepperdine poll isn't coming out until Tuesday, so I went ahead and ran new ballot measure polling averages. As a reminder, these averages look at the field of public polls, which are then weighted on recency and methodology.
Proposition 30: Temporary Taxes to Fund Education. Guaranteed Local Public Safety Funding. Initiative Constitutional Amendment.
Yes: 49.0% (-1.8%)
No: 41.2%
Undecided: 8.7%
Proposition 31: State Budget. State and Local Government. Initiative Constitutional Amendment and Statute.
Yes: 26.5% (-4.2%)
No: 42.3%%
Undecided: 31.1%
Proposition 32: Prohibits Political Contributions by Payroll Deduction. Prohibitions on Contributions to Candidates. Initiative Statute.Yes: 41.7% (-2.7%)
No: 46.0%
Undecided: 11.0%
Proposition 33: Changes Law to Allow Auto Insurance Companies to Set Prices Based on a Driver's History of Insurance Coverage. Initiative Statute.
Yes: 54.8% (-1.0%)
No: 33.6%
Undecided: 23.1%
Proposition 34: Death Penalty Repeal. Initiative Statute. Yes: 43.5% (-0.4%)
No: 44.3%
Undecided: 12.2%
Proposition 35: Human Trafficking. Penalties. Sex Offender Registration. Initiative Statute.Yes: 79.7% (-2.5%)
No: 12.3%
Undecided: 8.0%
Proposition 36: Three Strikes Law. Sentencing for Repeat Felony Offenders. Initiative Statute. Yes: 67.0% (-4.5%)
No: 20.6%
Undecided: 12.5%
Proposition 37: Genetically Engineered Foods. Mandatory Labeling. Initiative Statute.Yes: 49.0% (-7.2%)%
No: 38.6%
Undecided: 12.2%
Proposition 38: Tax for Education and Early Childhood Programs. Initiative Statute.Yes: 41.2% (-0.9%)
No: 48.7%
Undecided: 9.9%
Proposition 39: Tax Treatment for Multistate Businesses. Clean Energy and Energy Efficiency Funding. Initiative Statute. Yes: 54.2% (-0.5%)
No: 30.7%
Undecided: 15.1%
Proposition 40: Redistricting. State Senate Districts. Referendum. Yes: 44.2% (+0.0%)
No: 25.8%
Undecided: 30.0%